Monday Night Football provides us a fascinating basement conflict between Newcastle and Aston Villa.
Steve Bruce returns with his Newcastle side into a vein of form — having won three of their past five Premier League matches — which has pushed them seven points clear of the relegation zone to the West Midlands.
There are larger problems for Villa, however, along with a streak of three defeats has seen them slip to 17th in the table, just 3 points above Watford.
Newcastle create by far the least of almost any Premier League side, also have mustered just 11 goals within their 12 matches–only Crystal Palace and Watford have fewer–though Villa have confronted the maximum amount of shots out of each aspect in the league (229), or so the dynamic of the game is quite intriguing.
Though Villa have lost one of their last five home games (against Liverpool), this Newcastle side appear well-organised and tough-to-beat — shown by only three defeats in their last 10, coming from the current top three in the league.
Both sides looking at both may well cancel each other out — and have drawn four of the past six matches against each other — as well as four of their last six at Villa Park, a draw looks a bet. ??
Newcastles xG is the smallest from the Premier League (10.01), that has witnessed them resort to the good ol set-piece for pleasure.
Four of Newcastles 11 goals have come from headers, also considering Villas propensity to ship some (their xGA is the fourth-worst from the division), that sounds like quite a realistic avenue of victory for the Magpies.
Centre-backs have scored in the past 3 games of Newcastle, and I am financing the next header.

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