This weekend, we have an 11-fight card at Greenville, South Carolina. DraftKings has some adequate contests for us to acquire a great deal of cash from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $120k being paid out. In addition they possess a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will attempt to get my 3rd seat this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at the $30k prize, and then I will probably have a couple shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to get a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let’s get to a few plays I like this week along with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Main Event STACK — Renato Moicano and Chan Sung Jung
For me, this is an easy pile in cash week. I think we readily have a floor of 100 with Renato Moicano and The Korean Zombie with upside of ~150. It also guarantees us the winner. As I have mentioned several times in the past, we do not need 6 wins in cash games, therefore play those type of games all you’ve got to do is conquer half the field. Usually 4 wins or 400+ points is good enough to money in most cash games. Even if you’ve got a strong lean on this fight I recommend stacking.
GPP drama of this week — Jairzinho Rozenstruik — $9,000
Rozenstruik gets the highest ITD lineup on the card at -140 and he can hit 100+ DK points by obtaining that in around 1. The worry here will be him being on his back in around 1 and then scoring zero points during that and then going out and getting a KO in round 2. Or no KO at all. Either of those would take him away the optimal lineup so we need this fight to stay standing and ideally an early KO. I believe that’s very possible and he will be a heart GPP play of mine . He is not the best money game play though because he can be put on his back and be stuck there and possibly even lose the fight that way. I am OK with him cash, but I won’t be making a priority like I’m being overweight in GPPs.
Underdog drama of this week — Anderson Dos Santos — $7,900
This gambling line is about pickem’ having a slight lean towards Dos Santos. However, Ewell is the preferred on DraftKings and is $400 more than ADS. Ewell is likewise the striker so for him to score highly he’s going to want a complete finish. His weakness is Anderson Dos Santos’ strength however. Ewell has difficulty staying off his spine and if ADS can put him he could submit him. He could rack up multiple takedowns to get a high decision score. I like the value we’re getting on him $7.9k and I like he should be looking to grapple in this fight. That’s why I had to pick him as my dog of this week.
Fade of the week — Syuri Kondo $8,000
There aren’t any real simple fades this week. I do have a complete fade on Kondo though because she looks to be purely a striker and I believe Ashely Yoder’s greatest path to success is through grappling. If Kondo isn’t at a striking game for 15-minutes I don’t see the way she scores highly unless she receives a finish. I don’t believe she has KO power, therefore I think it is purely the substantial strikes and the win bonus which we would be relying on here. I’d rather have a fighter with more of a chance to finish or who’s more likely to grapple. That’s exactly why Kondo is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I am 81-51 for +251.89u (+$25,189) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)