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For the first time in just 17 months, arguably the UFC’s best fighter graces the Octagon again as Jon”Bones” Jones has his highly anticipated rematch against Alexander”The Mauler” Gustafsson for the light heavyweight championship at UFC 232. The former champion, Jones, won the first fight back in UFC 165 at 2013 and can be a -300 favorite with this fight with the challenger, Gustafsson, coming back in +230.
Odds Analysis
The odds are a lot tighter than they had been the first time that Jones and Gustafsson fought five years ago as Jones closed as a -800 favorite in that struggle with Gustafsson coming back in +550. The fight was really close with many believing that the Sweden native edged out the New Yorker to claim the championship, but the judges saw it in favor of Jones for a unanimous-decision victory.
A lot of people will jump on that Bones has tested positive for performance enhancers in two of his last three fights, both contrary to Daniel Cormier, also did not seem like himself if he had been”clean” against Ovince Saint Preux. From the OSP struggle, though, Jones outstruck his opponent 111-58 and landed three takedowns for a unanimous-decision win. Another area of concern is that a long layoff for the former champ but that is not a element in this struggle as Gustafsson has been out longer than Jones coping with injuries. I believe the opening chances are where they should be and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the line move just a little bit in Gustafsson’s favor.
Lately, Jones had a test that revealed some turinabol, the substance he had been suspended for 15 months for, still in his stuff. The Nevada State Athletic Commission did not have enough time to examine all the science behind this so the struggle was transferred to The Forum in Inglewood, California as their commission has been dealing with this medication as it pertains to Jones for the previous year and a half. USADA has said that this was not a new ingestion of the prohibited substance and therefore are letting him compete.
Slimming down Jones vs Gustafsson II
Jones (-300) is an extremely creative and gifted fighter, using a high-level battle IQ combined with above-average wrestling. Bones has revealed to a few occasions (his first battle vs Gustafsson) that the heart of a winner as he’s endured a great deal of harm but continues pushing ahead en route to a 22-1 record with his only loss being a disqualification. The 31-year-old’s final bout saw him knock Daniel Cormier out using a head kick, but the struggle was overturned into a no contest following a failed drug test.
Gustafsson (+230) is an exceptional boxer with fantastic cardio who has no problem rising to the occasion. As mentioned above, his initial scrap with Jones was an epic war which left many wondering whose hands would be increased at the end of their 25 minutes. The Mauler put in a similar attempt against Daniel Cormier at UFC 192, but once again came up empty-handed. The Sweden native just has two other losses on his record, a submission loss to Phil Davis in his next UFC fight and a knockout in the hands of this ever-dangerous Anthony Johnson at 2015. The 31-year-old has not entered the Octagon since his dominant knockout victory over Glover Teixeira in May of 2017.
Jon outstruck Gustafsson 137-114 within their first meeting while each fighter landed a takedown. Both fighters were left bruised, battered and bloodied however, it was Jones who left with his hand raised. Ever since, The Mauler was calling for a rematch while Bones proceeded to beat three other challengers, including Daniel Cormier twice.
It’ll be interesting to see what developments each fighter has made over the previous year and a half. Of course, Gustafsson was coping with accidents, while Jones was working on his craft while on suspension. The New York native said that he did not train for his first bout with the Sweden native and that is why it was so close. We’ll figure out whether he had been telling the truth on December 29 in the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada to get UFC 232.
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