Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM in Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I shall detract from our regularly scheduled program of NFL debate to dip our feet and then leave our college football selections on the Monday night game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will probably be the very first and only time this year we do so, as the previous week of display NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season game of NCAA soccer featuring one of the very best clubs in the nation, plus a legendary soccer program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the discussion after my buddy Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a bet on the Steelers while I endorsed the Titans. Weve been placing wins back and forth so it appears like its my turn for the wreath, as the Irish are heartily endorsed by me and will follow the squares laying the heavy lumber on a road favorite.
After reviewing the school football odds nearly six days before the Monday night event, I see that the line has spiked a half-point about the preferred, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is currently offered in a solid -20 throughout the board at all of the best online sportsbooks.
I like the Irish but you are leaning to the Cardinals. Aside from the venue, why is it that you think Louisville could hang with the boys in South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes a triumph and at least IMO, said a lot about the Steelers and Titans management. Let us move to real soccer, in which the games rely and so will our recordings with this one.
Recall Louisville used to play against opponents? They held their engineered and own upsets. These were enjoyable games and the Cardinals were a thrilling club.
But like the former Papa Johns Stadium and its fake (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked wonders and are out to change the culture and win matches. This wont happen immediately as the talent level is down from theVille. Nonethelessthis is a time for Louisville, a group that has the chance to start taking actions in the perfect direction.
Ive read where the Cards trainers have popped up the slow mechanics of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall since the direct running back. Than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins the defense, well, that makes me more worried. Why you have up your Irish please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much since the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest flying into this match. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and hes got a team coming off of a dismal record this past year where they went winless in ACC activity. This rebuild is akin to seeking to turn it in an F-22 Raptor and taking a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually happen, the issue is that Louisville is confronting a team that made it into the CFP last year and owned only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points within the regular season and moving a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense clicked on all cylinders also, averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, how will be a quarterback like Pass who is slow to release, designed to get some traction against a swarming Irish defense? Particularly when he is working with a trainer and a completely new offensive strategy?
Please, Doug, rescue me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form in which Louisville will have the ability to keep pace with the Golden Domers and Im desperate for the brand new wisdom and handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, I am happy to read in your last sentence you are coming over to the glowing side of sport betting, or you are simply being the same shrewd a** you are. I will let the SBR readers who are currently making college football picks decide on this. I am the first to realize Louisville completely sucked and was, however, 1-11 ATS last season.
However, that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up about the Atlanta Falcons. A coach brings a fresh mindset on building a statement and this being a national game, his team will be sold by Satterfield. Louisville does have to hope never and the Irish will take them have a lot of fight.
Lets also think about, Brian Kelly using all the gold and blue is only 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and a ATS, if dishing out more or 20 digits. That defense you mentioned may improve as the year progresses but replacing five starters, even when you dont/cant recruit like Clemson or even Bama, it will take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was a bit facetious because though you have an handicapping that was impressive restart, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this case, you happen to be shooting blanks because Louisville could be better compared to last year but I would submit that they could be trained with a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their document left by an coach like Petrino.
I understand that laying nearly 3 touchdowns on the road is square biz for sure and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but at times the general public is right, and in this instance they certainly are. Until once we get back on our NFL Game of the Week next week, let us see what happens on Monday when the Irish come ready to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)