Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and render our school football picks on the Monday night match between the Louisville Cardinals and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and that I shall deviate from our regularly scheduled program of NFL debate to dip our toes into uncharted waters.
It will probably be the very first and only time this year we do this, as the last week of exhibition NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster compared to a regular-season game of NCAA soccer comprising one of the best teams in the nation, plus a mythical football program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the debate after my buddy Doug Upstone got the best of me last week with a bet on the Steelers while I endorsed the Titans. Weve been placing wins back and on so it looks like its my turn to the gold wreath, as the Irish are heartily endorsed by me and will accompany the squares laying the heavy lumber on a road favorite.
After reviewing the college football odds nearly six days prior to this Monday night affair, I see that the line has spiked a half-point about the favorite, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is currently offered in a solid -20 throughout the board at all of the best online sportsbooks.
Youre currently leaning onto the Cardinals although doug, I like the Irish. Other than the venue is it that you think Louisville will hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yes IMO and a convincing win, it said a great deal about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Let us proceed to football, so will our recordings on this one and where the games rely.
Recall Louisville used to perform against competitions that are big-name? They more than held their engineered and own upsets. These were enjoyable games to watch and the Cardinals were a thrilling club.
However, for example the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its fake (in real life) owner, Louisville football last season was worse than a three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield will be out win games and to change the civilization and worked wonders. This will not happen right away as the ability level is down from theVille. Nonetheless, this is a time for Louisville, a team that has the chance.
I have read where the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and I enjoy Hassan Hall because the lead running back. Than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season 23, the defense that makes me more worried. You have up your Irish please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing much as the Notre Dame defense will keep them cozy in their nest flying into this game. Scott Satterfield is currently in the big leagues and hes got a group this past year, in which they went winless in ACC activity coming off of a dismal record. This rebuild is comparable to attempting to turn it in an F-22 Raptor and carrying a hot air balloon.
While that may eventually happen, the issue is that Louisville is confronting a group which made it to the CFP last year and owned only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points over the normal season and going a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders averaging 33 points per match over.
My query is, just how is a quarterback like Pass whos slow to discharge, designed to get some traction against a swarming shield? Especially when he is working with a new trainer and an offensive scheme that is entirely new?
Please, Doug, save me Im lost! I find no way, shape or form where Louisville will be able to keep up and Im desperate to handicapping experience and your sage wisdom!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im happy to read in your last sentence youre coming around to the sunny side of sport gambling, or you are just being the same shrewd a** you usually are. I will let the SBR readers that are making this is decided on by school football selections. Im the first to understand Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not just 2-10 and sucked final year.
Like he gave up on the Atlanta Falcons but coach Bobby Petrino was given up on by that team COMPLETELY. A fresh mindset is brought by A new trainer and his team will be sold by Satterfield on creating a statement, with this being a federal match. Louisville does need to trust they will not be taken by the Irish and never have much fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly using gold and all the blue is only 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and a mere 7-9-1 ATS if dishing out more or 20 digits. This defense you mentioned might improve as the season progresses but substituting five starters, if you dont/cant recruit like Bama or Clemson, it will take time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was a bit facetious because although youve got an handicapping restart, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this situation, you happen to be shooting, since Louisville might be greater but Id submit that they are trained with a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their record left by an equally inept coach such as Petrino.
I understand that placing nearly three touchdowns on the street is square biz for sure along with Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy road chalk, but sometimes the public is correct, and in this case they definitely are. Until once we get down on our NFL Game of the Week next week, lets see what happens on Monday night when the Irish come prepared to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)