Just how many MVPs are there in soccer? There can only be one, of course, however Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson has muscled his way into the dialog of this year, alongside reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, and many other applicants. Well just need to determine if Watson and the Texans (4-2 SU and ATS) keep outperforming expectations.
You dont have to do in an MVP level to do that. Only by playing at better than league average, QB Jacoby Brissett gets got the Indianapolis Colts (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) from the black heading to Sundays matchup with Houston. Do we ride either team for our NFL picks, or can we pinpoint theabove rather now that the entire is down from 48 to 47?
Maybe neither. The projections for this AFC South showdown are a bit funky:
FiveThirtyEight: Indianapolis –0.5
Jeff Sagarin: Houston –4.62, 45.95 total
What the deuce? Sagarins eigenvector spread is extremely friendly towards the Texans; his Recent disperse is Houston –1.77, that is closer to Nate Silvers projection. Suffice it to say were taking a look at a near matchup either way.
Or are you? Football Outsiders have the Texans ranked No. 13 overall (No. 13 offense, No. 15 shield, No. 16 special teams), although the Colts are behind at No. 23 (No. 10 crime, No. 28 defense, No. 27 unique teams). Perhaps there are some Andrew Luck stats into Silvers numbers — as we mentioned, Brissett has not been a disaster whatsoever.
As for this total, the sharps failed to grab theunder as it started at 48 about the NFL chances board. It seems somewhat strange how nicely Watson and Brissett have played with , and just how poor the Colts defense has been. But do not overlook those teams. These are two of the worst kicking teams in the league.
God bless Adam Vinatieri. He cant hit the ball at age 46, although hes only missed one kick over the previous three games. A week vinatieri went 4-4 on field goals .
Houstons got a leg that was younger in Fairbairn, but the prior Lou Groza winner in UCLA appears to have fallen apart, lost a few of his five figgies out of 40 yards or more. Fairbairn is on his points. This could be a case of small sample sizes, where the cause of Houston would be helped by regression to the mean. But we will pound theunder rather, since some locations still have it in 48 because we go to press. Shop smart.
Free NFL Pick: Under 48 (-110) at Sports Interaction