How many MVPs are there any in football? There can only be a person, of course, but Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson has muscled his way into the dialog of this year, alongside several other applicants, Russell Wilson, and reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes. Well only need to see if Watson and the Texans (4-2 SU and ATS) keep outperforming expectations.
You do not need to perform at an MVP level to achieve that. Only by playing better than league average, QB Jacoby Brissett has the Indianapolis Colts (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) in the black heading to Sundays matchup with Houston. Do we ride either team for our NFL selections, or do we nail theabove rather now that the entire world is down from 48 to 47?
Maybe . The projections for this AFC South showdown are a Little funky:
FiveThirtyEight: Indianapolis –0.5
Jeff Sagarin: Houston –4.62, 45.95 complete
What the deuce? Sagarins eigenvector spread is quite friendly towards the Texans; his Recent spread is Houston –1.77, that is nearer to Nate Silvers projection. Suffice it to say we are looking at a matchup either way.
Or are we? Football Outsiders have the Texans ranked No. 13 general (No. 13 crime, No. 15 defense, No. 16 special teams), although the Colts are behind at No. 23 (No. 10 crime, No. 28 defense, No. 27 unique teams). There are some Andrew Luck stats thrown into Silvers numbers — although as we mentioned, Brissett hasnt been a catastrophe by any means.
As for that complete, the sharps did well to grab thebeneath when it started at 48 about the NFL odds board. It appears a bit strange given how well Watson and Brissett have played with , and just how poor the Colts defense was. But do not overlook those teams that are particular. These are a couple of the worst kicking teams from the league.
God bless Adam Vinatieri. Hes just missed one kick within the last few matches, but he also cant hit the ball anymore at age 46. Vinatieri went 4-4 on field goals against the Kansas City Chiefs last week; the longest was 32 yards.
Houstons got a younger leg at 25-year-old Kaimi Fairbairn, but the prior Lou Groza winner in UCLA seems to have fallen aside, lost a number of his five figgies. Fairbairn is on his additional points. This may be a case of small sample sizes, where Houstons cause would be helped by regression to the mean. But we will pound theunder rather, since some locations still have it in 48 as we go to press. Shop smart.
Free NFL Pick: Under 48 (-110) at Sports Interaction