Just how many MVPs are there in football? There can only be a person, needless to say, but Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson has muscled his way alongside reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, and several other deserving applicants. We will only need to determine if Watson and the Texans (4-2 SU and ATS) keep outperforming expectations.
You dont need to perform at an MVP level to accomplish that. Only by playing at better than league average, QB Jacoby Brissett has got the Indianapolis Colts (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) in the black heading into Sundays matchup with Houston. Do we ride with either team for our NFL selections, or can we nail theabove rather now that the sum is down from 48 to 47?
Maybe . The projections for this particular AFC South showdown are a Little funky:
FiveThirtyEight: Indianapolis –0.5
Jeff Sagarin: Houston –4.62, 45.95 total
What the deuce? Sagarins eigenvector spread is very friendly in the Texans; his latest spread is Houston –1.77, which is closer to Nate Silvers projection. Suffice it to say were looking at a near matchup in any event.
Or are we? Football Outsiders possess the Texans rated No. 13 overall (No. 13 crime, No. 15 defense, No. 16 special teams), while the Colts are well behind at No. 23 (No. 10 crime, No. 28 shield, No. 27 unique teams). There are some Andrew Luck stats into the numbers of Silver — Brissett has not been a disaster by any means although as we mentioned.
As for this complete, the sharps failed to grab theunder when it opened at 48 about the NFL likelihood board. It seems somewhat strange Watson and Brissett have playedand how poor the Colts defense has been. But do not overlook those teams that are particular. These are a couple of the worst kicking teams in the league.
God bless Adam Vinatieri. He missed one kick over the past few games, but he cant hit the long ball anymore at age 46. A week vinatieri went 4-4 on field goals ; the maximum has been 32 yards.
Houstons got a leg that was younger in Kaimi Fairbairn that was 25-year-old, however, the prior Lou Groza winner at UCLA seems to have fallen apart, lost several of his five figgies. Fairbairn is on his points. Where regression to the mean could help the cause of Houston this might be a case of small sample sizes. But well pound theunder rather, because some locations still have it in 48 since we go to press. Shop smart.
Free NFL Pick: Under 48 (-110) at Sports Interaction