How many MVPs are there in football? There can only be a person, clearly, but Houston Texans QB Deshaun Watson has muscled his way into this seasons dialog, together with reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, and other applicants. We will only need to see whether Watson and the Texans (4-2 SU and ATS) keep outperforming expectations.
You dont need to do at an MVP level to perform that. Only by playing at better than league average, QB Jacoby Brissett gets the Indianapolis Colts (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) from the black heading into Sundays matchup with Houston. Can we ride with either team for our NFL selections, or do we nail theabove rather now that the entire world is down from 48 to 47?
Maybe . The projections for this particular AFC South showdown are a Little funky:
FiveThirtyEight: Indianapolis –0.5
Jeff Sagarin: Houston –4.62, 45.95 complete
What the deuce? Sagarins eigenvector disperse is very friendly towards the Texans; his latest spread is Houston –1.77, that is closer to Nate Silvers projection. Suffice it to say were looking at a near matchup in any event.
Or are we all? Football Outsiders possess the Texans rated No. 13 general (No. 13 offense, No. 15 shield, No. 16 special teams), although the Colts are behind at No. 23 (No. 10 offense, No. 28 shield, No. 27 unique teams). There are still some Andrew Luck stats thrown into the numbers of Silver — although as we mentioned, Brissett hasnt been a tragedy whatsoever.
As for this complete, the sharps failed to grab theunder when it opened at 48 on the NFL likelihood board. It appears a bit strange Watson and Brissett have played, and how bad the Colts defense was. But dont overlook those teams that are special. These are a couple of the worst kicking against teams in the group.
God bless Adam Vinatieri. Hes only missed one kick within the last few matches, but he cant hit the ball that was at age 46. Last week, vinatieri went 4-4 on field goals against the Kansas City Chiefs .
Houstons got a younger leg at Fairbairn, but the Lou Groza winner in UCLA appears to have fallen missing several of his five figgies out of 40 yards or longer. Fairbairn can also be 16-of-20 on his points. This could be a case of small sample sizes, even where Houstons cause would be helped by regression to the mean. But well pound theunder instead, because some places still have it in 48 as we go to press. Shop smart.
Free NFL Pick: Under 48 (-110) at Sports Interaction