Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this battle on career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a big factor and there’s a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and is based on completing competitions. At a five round combat this strategy is a risky one that will backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of his own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent outcome. On the toes both men can have their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the ground. Since Santos tires that the takedowns will be available and Santos has historically struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills should find Blachowicz a complete once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes using a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high hazard admissions off his back. This strategy rarely succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for trips and takedowns to the mat in which he favours top and control position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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